Governor – WV – Republican
OTHER RACES:
President | US Senate | Congress 1 | Congress 2 | Governor | Sec of State | Attorney General
2023 – Q3 – Poll Results
Text / Web Survey of Republican Voters Who Have Voted In 3 or 4 of the Last 4 Primary Elections | 1,144 Responses, 99% Confidence Level, 5% Margin of Error
Patrick Morrisey – 47.29%
-3.84% Change
Cash On Hand: $1,084,305
Mac Warner – 17.83%
-0.81% Change
Cash On Hand: $194,509
Chris Miller – 14.86%
-0.12% Change
Cash On Hand: $3,488,276
Moore Capito – 13.64%
+2.66% Change
Cash On Hand: $948,116
JB McCuskey- 4.98%
+1.76% Change
Cash On Hand: $412,082
Rashida Yost – 0.61%
+0.52% Change
Cash On Hand: $8,593
Edwin Vanover – 0.52%
+0.52% Change
Cash On Hand: $0
Terri Bradshaw – 0.26%
+0.26% Change
Cash On Hand: $0
Analysis
A statistical 3 way tie for second place is the highlight of the current poll. With 10 months to go before the primary it is clear that Morrisey holds the name id advantage in the race. Warner, Capito and Miller all have an opportunity to compete against Morrisey, but this will come down to who can afford to reach voters early and often.
Warner has built a coalition of veterans that will support him because of his own veteran status but lacks the cash on hand of his competitors. Capito and Miller will have to draw clear distinct differences in message not only with Morrisey, but with one another. Miller clearly has the cash on hand advantage of the entire field with a treasury made up of both donations and personal funding.
Morrisey’s advantage is that he has been a well liked Attorney General and enjoys name id across the state. However his weakness is that his messaging is largely old news to the electorate. Solid messaging and communication from a competitor could change the outlook of this race over the next quarter. It remains to be seen if Morrisey’s challengers will begin to actively message to voters now or if the outside threat of funding from Club For Growth will force them to wait to late in the campaign cycle. Morrisey is an experienced campaigner with a massive amount of out-of-state help and if his competitors wait he will likely capitalize.
